The media appears to be reporting more and more shark encounters across Australia each year. But are shark bites increasing? Are there more sharks in our waters than ever before? Shark researcher and UQ graduate Dr Blake Chapman dives in to explain what’s happening beneath the ocean’s surface.

Sharks remain a hugely polarising and highly debated topic. The efforts we take (or don’t take) to mitigate the risk of shark bites continue to be argued among the public, policymakers, conservation groups, recreational water users, and even the scientific community. 

Shark bite incidence is undeniably increasing. However, there was a highly noticeable dip in statistics in 2018, with just 66 confirmed unprovoked bites across the globe.

When analysing and assessing shark bite statistics, we generally don’t pay attention to annual fluctuations, instead looking more at decadal averages. However, the drop last year was so significant that it was more representative of average statistics from the early 2000s. Although, even this comparison is complicated by the continual growth in communication efforts, human recreational water use, technological advances and the documentation of bites. 

There are a number of theories proposed for the drop in 2018, including reduced shark numbers and humans being more proactive in mitigating the risk. 

But, as with all things related to shark bites, there are no definitive answers. 

Despite the drop in global bite incidence in 2018, the total of 20 bites (including one fatality) that occurred in Australia last year was close to the country’s record of 22 bites in one year (which occurred in 2015).

In conjunction with the higher than average number of bites in Australia last year, we also saw some unusual bite patterns, such as the two bites at Cid Harbour in the Whitsundays within 24 hours, and then a third, fatal bite seven weeks later. 

Shark bites are random events, and unfortunately not often explainable. However, by retrospectively studying bite patterns from around the world over the past few decades, we have been able to identify some factors that may lead to a greater likelihood of human-shark interaction. 

These factors include anomalous climatic events (such as El Niño weather patterns), habitat modification or destruction and, of course, changes to the way humans utilise environments that overlap with sharks.

In conjunction with the steady, if not increasing, bite incidence in Australia, the media continues to fuel the fire around shark bites. 

Anything to do with human-shark interaction is major news. This includes actual bites, sightings (which are still often described with intent-laden terms, suggesting it was lucky that something traumatic did not occur) and governmental shark bite mitigation measures. 

Less prevalent are the stories that relate to the ‘positives’ of sharks, although, happily, interest in these stories is starting to increase. The media regularly reports anecdotal claims of ‘bigger and fatter’ sharks and shark populations that are ‘out of control’ or ‘in plague proportion’. 

Comments on localised sighting increases often come from long-term water users who spend large amounts of time in, on or around the water. Although not validated through any formal processes, these comments (minus any sensationalism and emotion) should not be quickly dismissed. This sort of information is not only important for devising and communicating warnings around present potential risk, but it may also be relevant to better understanding current and evolving shark movement patterns. Knowledge on movement patterns is so important and can greatly assist with developing, directing and optimising mitigation efforts. 

Although we are seeing more bites and talking about sharks more, we still don’t really know how healthy many of our shark populations are. 

If we listen to the media, sharks are everywhere! But we are also now looking for sharks and talking about shark sightings like never before. So, really, it is not surprising that we are seeing, but mostly talking about, sharks more often. This creates a perception that shark populations are increasing.

Australia is home to about 180 of the approximate 530 species of sharks that we have on the planet. Evidence indicates that, on the whole, and especially in a global context, we are doing quite well with managing most of these species. There have been some bumps in the road, but we have largely identified which species are at risk, and have taken actions to better protect them. 

However, not all Australian shark populations have been so lucky. And for these species, reversing the concerning conservation status will be a difficult battle. 

While not a direct population count, a recently published UQ-led study found that the numbers of (certain species of) hammerhead, tiger, white and whaler sharks caught in the Queensland Shark Control Program drastically declined by 74–92 per cent over the 55 years that the program has been in operation. 

Equally as worrying, the average size (total length) of the species investigated also decreased significantly, and the probability of capturing adult animals is down. There are compounding factors to studies that use fishing and shark-control programs as a proxy for population assessments, but the findings presented are so strong that the trends should not be ignored. 

"Despite all of the talk and sensationalism, shark bites remain extremely rare and unlikely events."

The task of counting sharks is fraught with difficulty, but a recent CSIRO-led study documented a new, cutting-edge methodology that, for the first time, provided a really compelling population assessment for large, highly migratory sharks. The study assessed the eastern and south-western Australian white shark populations (which rarely cross over) and estimated that there are likely to be around 750 and 1460 adult sharks in these populations, respectively. 

There is great optimism that the technique can be rolled out to develop baseline population counts for other species as well, and provide a foundation for assessing population trends of these sharks in the future.

Major pressures on shark populations include legal and illegal fishing, habitat degradation, marine debris and shark control programs. Despite all of the talk and sensationalism, shark bites remain extremely rare and unlikely events. Yet, Australia employs a wide range of lethal and non-lethal mitigation measures.

We know for sure that none of the currently developed regional mitigation measures are 100 per cent effective and, in fact, it is far more likely that most are equivocal at best when it comes to reducing bites on humans. Yet, lethal measures, in particular, can be hugely destructive to the environment and have resulted in significant marine animal mortality. 

While governments should be leading and developing policy based on thoroughly considered scientific information, they are often instead heavily influenced by voter emotion and fear. Unfortunately, fear is tricky to govern; it is a subconscious emotion and largely inconsiderate of consciously known facts. Humans aren’t inherently afraid of sharks, but the ancestral fear of predators is processed in one of the most basal parts of our brain. As such, this fear is very easily acquired, and very difficult to break. Studies have shown, though, that we can help to ‘immunise’, or condition, ourselves against fear through early positive, or even neutral experiences with the stimulus. 

Learn more about Dr Blake Chapman's work on the UQ ChangeMakers podcast or subscribe to the series on iTunes.

My recent efforts have taken this concept on board, and I have developed an educational program on sharks for kids. My hope is that by providing kids with a fun introduction to sharks early on, along with encouragement for continued learning and discussion, that this experience may buffer negative stories they will undoubtedly be exposed to later in life. 

The program presents some of the unique and fascinating aspects of sharks, but also works to reduce common sensationalised concepts, bringing the image of ‘sharks’ back to reality. The kids participate in hands-on activities that demonstrate the importance of sharks in the environment. And of course, some safe swimming tips are thrown in, as this is still the much greater risk accompanying any sort of water activity. Overall, my aim is to help to develop a stronger, more informed and more compassionate future generation capable of making the difficult decisions that surround conservation and environmental management.

About the author

Dr Blake Chapman completed her PhD at UQ’s School of Biomedical Sciences in 2009. She is a science communicator and shark researcher. She published her first book, Shark Attacks: Myths, Misunderstandings and Human Fear, in 2017. She develops and presents a range of educational and informational programs on sharks for kids and the general public. Chapman collaborates with a variety of international shark risk management and shark conservation organisations. She is also the Sharks Editor-at-Large for Australian Geographic.

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